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Notes on yesterday’s election and changes in Congress

Wednesday, November 7, 2018  
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  • We have had divided government for 8 of the last 12 years.
  • Democrats appear to have won between 32 and 34 House seats as of this afternoon. Twenty House races are yet to be called.
  • Republicans kept their Senate majority, and have added 2 or 3 seats to their majority, depending on the outcome of the yet-to-be called Senate race in Arizona.
  • Democrats took 29 House Republican districts; this included at least 22 incumbents as well as 7 Republican-held open seats. Republicans took 2 Democratic seats.
  • There will be one more Senate race this year, a November 27 in runoff election in Mississippi between Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) and former Clinton administration Secretary of Agriculture Mike Espy (D). Hyde-Smith is expected to prevail.
  • 30 of 35 Senate races voted for the same party that won the state at the presidential level in 2016. The notion that Americans are ticket splitters is simply not true anymore.
  • Four Senate Democrats lost; this is the highest number of incumbent defeats for the non-presidential party in a midterm since 1934.
  • The House Financial Services Committee will go from a 34-26 R majority to a 37-32 D majority.
  • The House Ways and Means Committee will go from a 24-16 R majority to a 24-17 D majority.
  • There are 727 DAYS until the Presidential Election.

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